Case Studies

Private Equity Advisory

A diligence answer that changed the price and the plan.

A mid-market sponsor was in exclusivity on a multi-site healthcare services platform with a growth story built on new site openings.

Service
Private Equity Advisory
Sector
Healthcare Services
Engagement
5 weeks diligence, 3-year hold

The Problem

What stood in the way.

  • The growth case assumed new-site economics matching the mature estate.
  • Payor mix had shifted materially in the two years before the process.
  • Management's pipeline had no observable conversion history.

Our Approach

How we worked.

  1. 01

    Built a cohort model of every site by vintage, isolating true ramp curves.

  2. 02

    Reconstructed payor mix and reimbursement trajectory from primary sources.

  3. 03

    Converted the findings into a revised value creation plan, not just a price view.

Outcomes

What the work produced.

-14%
entry price renegotiated
2.9x
gross MOIC at exit
22
sites added on revised economics

The sponsor transacted at a materially lower entry price and ran the hold period against a plan grounded in real cohort economics rather than the vendor's case.